Game 401860916 · The Saturday Slate

← The board

Sat, Nov 14 · 3:00pm CT · UFCU Stadium · San Marcos, TX · CW3:00pm CT

FRES

Fresno State Bulldogs · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Away

FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row

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TXST

Texas State Bobcats · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Home

FPI -4.9 · rank 86 · No CFBD row

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Market vs model

Spread

—

TXST —
FRES —

Model

FRES -1.9

Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only

ML / total

Pass

TXST — · FRES —
Total — — no O/U pick

CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

TXST rating -4.9, FRES rating -0.5.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to TXST.
Predicted margin is FRES by 1.9.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model away 1.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.4; home field +2.5).
Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

FRES

FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row

W@ SJSU 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
Wvs SAC 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
L@ USC 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
Wvs M-OH 18-3 · Sat, Dec 27
W@ SJSU 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29

TXST

FPI -4.9 · rank 86 · No CFBD row

Wvs UNT 49-35 · Sat, Sep 19
Lvs UTSA 31-26 · Sat, Sep 12
L@ TEX 59-7 · Sat, Sep 5
Wvs RICE 41-10 · Fri, Jan 2
Wvs USA 49-26 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 1.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -4.4; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.