Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 21 · 6:30pm CT · Valley Children's Stadium · Fresno, CA · CW6:30pm CT
CSU
Colorado State Rams · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row
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FRES
Fresno State Bulldogs · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
FRES —
CSU —
CSU —
Model
FRES -8.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FRES
FRES — · CSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- FRES rating -0.5, CSU rating -6.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to FRES.
- Predicted margin is FRES by 8.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 8.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FRES, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
CSU
- Lvs BYU 41-23 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs SUU 58-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs WYO 35-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs AFA 42-21 · Fri, Nov 28
- L@ BOIS 49-21 · Sat, Nov 22
FRES
- W@ SJSU 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs SAC 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ USC 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
- Wvs M-OH 18-3 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ SJSU 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 8.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.