Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 21 · 9:30pm CT · Reser Stadium · Corvallis, OR · CBSSN9:30pm CT
USU
Utah State Aggies · Pac-12 · 0-3 · Away
FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row
ORST
Oregon State Beavers · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Home
FPI -2.2 · rank 78 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
ORST
USU
Model
ORST -9.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ORST
ORST · USU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ORST rating -2.2, USU rating -8.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ORST.
  • Predicted margin is ORST by 9.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 9.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ORST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

USU

FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ UTAH 33-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ WASH 16-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs IDST 29-17 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs WSU 34-21 · Mon, Dec 22
  5. Lvs BOIS 25-24 · Fri, Nov 28

ORST

FPI -2.2 · rank 78 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MONT 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs TTU 35-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ HOU 33-20 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ WSU 32-8 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ TLSA 31-14 · Sat, Nov 15

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 9.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.