Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Nov 21 · 5:00pm CT · UFCU Stadium · San Marcos, TX · USA Net5:00pm CT
WSU
Washington State Cougars · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Away
FPI -7 · rank 97 · No CFBD row
TXST
Texas State Bobcats · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Home
FPI -4.9 · rank 86 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
TXST
WSU
Model
TXST -4.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TXST
TXST · WSU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • TXST rating -4.9, WSU rating -7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to TXST.
  • Predicted margin is TXST by 4.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 4.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TXST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WSU

FPI -7 · rank 97 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs DUQ 48-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ KSU 34-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ WASH 24-10 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. Wvs USU 34-21 · Mon, Dec 22
  5. Wvs ORST 32-8 · Sat, Nov 29

TXST

FPI -4.9 · rank 86 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UNT 49-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs UTSA 31-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ TEX 59-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs RICE 41-10 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. Wvs USA 49-26 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 4.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.