Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Valley Children's Stadium · Fresno, CA · USA Net11:00pm CT
ORST
Oregon State Beavers · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Away
FPI -2.2 · rank 78 · No CFBD row
FRES
Fresno State Bulldogs · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
FRES
ORST
Model
FRES -4.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FRES
FRES · ORST
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • FRES rating -0.5, ORST rating -2.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to FRES.
  • Predicted margin is FRES by 4.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 4.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is FRES, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ORST

FPI -2.2 · rank 78 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MONT 52-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs TTU 35-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ HOU 33-20 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ WSU 32-8 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ TLSA 31-14 · Sat, Nov 15

FRES

FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ SJSU 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SAC 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ USC 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Wvs M-OH 18-3 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ SJSU 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 4.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.7; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.