Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 21 · 8:30pm CT · Albertsons Stadium · Boise, ID · USA Net8:30pm CT
SDSU
San Diego State Aztecs · Pac-12 · 1-2 · Away
FPI -3.3 · rank 81 · No CFBD row
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BOIS
Boise State Broncos · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 8.1 · rank 37 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
BOIS —
SDSU —
SDSU —
Model
BOIS -13.9
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BOIS
BOIS — · SDSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- BOIS rating 8.1, SDSU rating -3.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to BOIS.
- Predicted margin is BOIS by 13.9.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 13.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is BOIS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SDSU
- Lvs JMU 26-13 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ UCLA 28-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs PRST 53-20 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs UNT 49-47 · Sat, Dec 27
- L@ UNM 23-17 2OT · Fri, Nov 28
BOIS
- Wvs SDAK 38-24 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs MEM 38-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ ORE 34-27 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs WASH 38-10 · Sat, Dec 13
- Wvs UNLV 38-21 · Fri, Dec 5
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 13.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.4; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.