Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Valley Children's Stadium · Fresno, CA11:00pm CT
TBD
TBD · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
FRES
Fresno State Bulldogs · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
FRES
TBD
Model
FRES -14
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FRES
FRES · TBD
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • FRES rating -0.5, TBD rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to FRES.
  • Predicted margin is FRES by 14.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 14. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is FRES, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TBD

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

FRES

FPI -0.5 · rank 69 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ SJSU 26-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs SAC 49-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ USC 39-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Wvs M-OH 18-3 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ SJSU 41-14 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 14. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.5; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.