Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Maverik Stadium · Logan, UT11:00pm CT
TBD
TBD · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
USU
Utah State Aggies · Pac-12 · 0-3 · Home
FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
USU
TBD
Model
USU -5.7
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USU
USU · TBD
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • USU rating -8.8, TBD rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to USU.
  • Predicted margin is USU by 5.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 5.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is USU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TBD

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

USU

FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ UTAH 33-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ WASH 16-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs IDST 29-17 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs WSU 34-21 · Mon, Dec 22
  5. Lvs BOIS 25-24 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 5.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.