Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 11:00am CT · Pratt & Whitney Stadium · East Hartford, CT · UConn+Final
LAF
Lafayette Leopards · 0-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+21.5 (-115)
+1000
CONN
UConn Huskies · Independents · 1-0 · Home
FPI -5.8 · rank 92 · No CFBD row
-21.5 (-105)
-1800
Market vs model
Spread
CONN -21.5
CONN -21.5 (-105)
LAF +21.5 (-115)
LAF +21.5 (-115)
Model
CONN -8.7
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CONN
CONN -1800 · LAF +1000
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- CONN rating -5.8, LAF rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to CONN.
- Predicted margin is CONN by 8.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 8.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is CONN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
LAF
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
CONN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 8.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.