Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00pm CT · M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg, MS · ESPN+Final
CONN
UConn Huskies · Independents · 2-1 · Away
FPI -5.8 · rank 92 · No CFBD row
-3.5 (-108)
-166
USM
Southern Miss Golden Eagles · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home
FPI -13.1 · rank 118 · No CFBD row
+3.5 (-112)
+140
Market vs model
Spread
CONN -3.5
USM +3.5 (-112)
CONN -3.5 (-108)
CONN -3.5 (-108)
Model
CONN -4.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CONN
USM +140 · CONN -166
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- USM rating -13.1, CONN rating -5.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to USM.
- Predicted margin is CONN by 4.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 4.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -7.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is CONN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
CONN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
USM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 4.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -7.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.