Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA11:00pm CT
CONN
UConn Huskies · Independents · 2-1 · Away
FPI -5.8 · rank 92 · No CFBD row
TEM
Temple Owls · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -4.6 · rank 85 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
TEM
CONN
Model
TEM -3.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TEM
TEM · CONN
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • TEM rating -4.6, CONN rating -5.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to TEM.
  • Predicted margin is TEM by 3.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 3.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TEM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CONN

FPI -5.8 · rank 92 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ USM 48-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs MD 38-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs LAF 56-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ARMY 41-16 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ FAU 48-45 · Sat, Nov 22

TEM

FPI -4.6 · rank 85 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TOL 49-48 OT · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs PSU 27-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs URI 38-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ UNT 52-25 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. Lvs TULN 37-13 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 3.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.