Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 31 · 2:00pm CT · Falcon Stadium · USAF Academy, CO · MW+2:00pm CT
CONN
UConn Huskies · Independents · 2-1 · Away
FPI -5.8 · rank 92 · No CFBD row
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AFA
Air Force Falcons · Mountain West · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.9 · rank 94 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
AFA —
CONN —
CONN —
Model
AFA -2.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
AFA
AFA — · CONN —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- AFA rating -5.9, CONN rating -5.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to AFA.
- Predicted margin is AFA by 2.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 2.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is AFA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
CONN
- W@ USM 48-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs MD 38-14 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs LAF 56-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ARMY 41-16 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ FAU 48-45 · Sat, Nov 22
AFA
- Lvs NDSU 38-32 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs DUQ 34-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ CSU 42-21 · Fri, Nov 28
- Lvs UNM 20-3 · Sat, Nov 22
- L@ CONN 26-16 · Sat, Nov 15
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 2.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.