Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 2:30pm CT · Yager Stadium · Oxford, OH · ESPN+2:30pm CT
CONN
UConn Huskies · Independents · 2-1 · Away
FPI -5.8 · rank 92 · No CFBD row
+3.5 (-112)
+145
M-OH
Miami (OH) RedHawks · MAC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -8.4 · rank 104 · No CFBD row
-3.5 (-108)
-175

Market vs model

Spread
M-OH -3.5
M-OH -3.5 (-108)
CONN +3.5 (-112)
Model
CONN -0.1
Edge 3.6 pts CONN
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
M-OH -175 · CONN +145
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • M-OH rating -8.4, CONN rating -5.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to M-OH.
  • Predicted margin is CONN by 0.1.
  • Edge is 3.6 points toward CONN.
  • Edge 3.6 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -2.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CONN

FPI -5.8 · rank 92 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ USM 48-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs MD 38-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs LAF 56-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ARMY 41-16 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ FAU 48-45 · Sat, Nov 22

M-OH

FPI -8.4 · rank 104 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ CIN 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs HC 45-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ PITT 59-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs FRES 18-3 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs WMU 23-13 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.

Parlay deskAdd ATS