Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Aug 29 · 9:00pm CT · Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV · FOX · IndoorFinal
MEM
Memphis Tigers · American · 1-0 · Away
FPI -0.8 · rank 71 · No CFBD row
+4.5 (-105)
+160
UNLV
UNLV Rebels · Mountain West · 0-1 · Home
FPI -5.9 · rank 93 · No CFBD row
-4.5 (-115)
-192
Market vs model
Spread
UNLV -4.5
UNLV -4.5 (-115)
MEM +4.5 (-105)
MEM +4.5 (-105)
Model
MEM -2.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MEM
UNLV -192 · MEM +160
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UNLV rating -5.9, MEM rating -0.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UNLV.
- Predicted margin is MEM by 2.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 2.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MEM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MEM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
UNLV
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 2.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.