Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 5 · 2:30pm CT · Jerry Richardson Stadium · Charlotte, NC · ESPN+Final/3OT
CIT
The Citadel Bulldogs · 1-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+20.5 (-112)
+950
CLT
Charlotte 49ers · American · 0-1 · Home
FPI -15 · rank 126 · No CFBD row
-20.5 (-108)
-1650

Market vs model

Spread
CLT -20.5
CLT -20.5 (-108)
CIT +20.5 (-112)
Model
CIT -0.5
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
CLT -1650 · CIT +950
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CLT rating -15, CIT rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CLT.
  • Predicted margin is CIT by 0.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 0.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CIT

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

CLT

FPI -15 · rank 126 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.