Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 2:30pm CT · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · Annapolis, MD · CBSSNFinal
TOW
Towson Tigers · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+31.5 (-108)
+5000
NAVY
Navy Midshipmen · American · 1-0 · Home
FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row
-31.5 (-112)
-100000
Market vs model
Spread
NAVY -31.5
NAVY -31.5 (-112)
TOW +31.5 (-108)
TOW +31.5 (-108)
Model
NAVY -9.2
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NAVY
NAVY -100000 · TOW +5000
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NAVY rating -5.3, TOW rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NAVY.
- Predicted margin is NAVY by 9.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 9.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.7; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is NAVY, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TOW
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
NAVY
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 9.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.7; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.