Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00pm CT · Raymond James Stadium · Tampa, FL · ESPN+Final
FIU
Florida International Panthers · C-USA · 0-1 · Away
FPI -10.8 · rank 114 · No CFBD row
+14.5 (-115)
+470
USF
South Florida Bulls · American · 1-0 · Home
FPI 0.8 · rank 63 · No CFBD row
-14.5 (-105)
-650
Market vs model
Spread
USF -14.5
USF -14.5 (-105)
FIU +14.5 (-115)
FIU +14.5 (-115)
Model
USF -14.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USF
USF -650 · FIU +470
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- USF rating 0.8, FIU rating -10.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to USF.
- Predicted margin is USF by 14.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 14.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is USF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FIU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
USF
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 14.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.