Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 2:30pm CT · Alamodome · San Antonio, TX · ESPN+ · IndoorFinal
RGV
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · 1-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+28.5 (-118)
+2000
UTSA
UTSA Roadrunners · American · 1-0 · Home
FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row
-28.5 (-102)
-6500
Market vs model
Spread
UTSA -28.5
UTSA -28.5 (-102)
RGV +28.5 (-118)
RGV +28.5 (-118)
Model
UTSA -12.8
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UTSA
UTSA -6500 · RGV +2000
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UTSA rating -1.7, RGV rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UTSA.
- Predicted margin is UTSA by 12.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 12.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is UTSA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
RGV
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
UTSA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 12.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.