Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 11:00am CT · Michie Stadium · West Point, NY · CBSSNFinal
USF
South Florida Bulls · American · 2-0 · Away
FPI 0.8 · rank 63 · No CFBD row
+3 (-102)
+140
ARMY
Army Black Knights · American · 1-1 · Home
FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row
-3 (-118)
-166

Market vs model

Spread
ARMY -3
ARMY -3 (-118)
USF +3 (-102)
Model
USF -1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
ARMY -166 · USF +140
Total 45.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ARMY rating -2.7, USF rating 0.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ARMY.
  • Predicted margin is USF by 1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

USF

FPI 0.8 · rank 63 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

ARMY

FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.5; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.