Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:30pm CT · Flagler Credit Union Stadium · Boca Raton, FL · ESPNUFinal
NAVY
Navy Midshipmen · American · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row
-4.5 (-112)
-205
FAU
Florida Atlantic Owls · American · 1-1 · Home
FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row
+4.5 (-108)
+170
Market vs model
Spread
NAVY -4.5
FAU +4.5 (-108)
NAVY -4.5 (-112)
NAVY -4.5 (-112)
Model
NAVY -2.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NAVY
FAU +170 · NAVY -205
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- FAU rating -10.4, NAVY rating -5.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to FAU.
- Predicted margin is NAVY by 2.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 2.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NAVY, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NAVY
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
FAU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 2.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.