Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:45pm CT · DATCU Stadium · Denton, TX · ESPNUFinal
UNLV
UNLV Rebels · Mountain West · 1-2 · Away
FPI -5.9 · rank 93 · No CFBD row
-3 (+100)
-148
UNT
North Texas Mean Green · American · 1-1 · Home
FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row
+3 (-120)
+124
Market vs model
Spread
UNLV -3
UNT +3 (-120)
UNLV -3 (+100)
UNLV -3 (+100)
Model
UNT -6.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNT
UNT +124 · UNLV -148
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UNT rating -2.3, UNLV rating -5.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UNT.
- Predicted margin is UNT by 6.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 6.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UNT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UNLV
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
UNT
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 6.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.