Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30pm CT · Protective Stadium · Birmingham, AL · ESPN+Final
ULM
UL Monroe Warhawks · Sun Belt · 0-2 · Away
FPI -22.6 · rank 135 · No CFBD row
+9.5 (-108)
+295
UAB
UAB Blazers · American · 1-1 · Home
FPI -14.9 · rank 125 · No CFBD row
-9.5 (-112)
-375

Market vs model

Spread
UAB -9.5
UAB -9.5 (-112)
ULM +9.5 (-108)
Model
UAB -10.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UAB
UAB -375 · ULM +295
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UAB rating -14.9, ULM rating -22.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UAB.
  • Predicted margin is UAB by 10.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 10.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UAB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ULM

FPI -22.6 · rank 135 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

UAB

FPI -14.9 · rank 125 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 10.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.7; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.