Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 5:00pm CT · S.B. Ballard Stadium · Norfolk, VA · ESPN+Final
ECU
East Carolina Pirates · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -4.6 · rank 84 · No CFBD row
+2.5 (-110)
+110
ODU
Old Dominion Monarchs · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home
FPI -7.4 · rank 100 · No CFBD row
-2.5 (-110)
-130

Market vs model

Spread
ODU -2.5
ODU -2.5 (-110)
ECU +2.5 (-110)
Model
ECU -0.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
ODU -130 · ECU +110
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ODU rating -7.4, ECU rating -4.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ODU.
  • Predicted margin is ECU by 0.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 0.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ECU

FPI -4.6 · rank 84 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

ODU

FPI -7.4 · rank 100 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.8; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.