Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 5:00pm CT · Flagler Credit Union Stadium · Boca Raton, FL · ESPN+Final
FIU
Florida International Panthers · C-USA · 1-2 · Away
FPI -10.8 · rank 114 · No CFBD row
+5.5 (-115)
+180
FAU
Florida Atlantic Owls · American · 2-1 · Home
FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row
-5.5 (-105)
-218
Market vs model
Spread
FAU -5.5
FAU -5.5 (-105)
FIU +5.5 (-115)
FIU +5.5 (-115)
Model
FAU -3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FAU
FAU -218 · FIU +180
Total 62.5 — no O/U pick
Total 62.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- FAU rating -10.4, FIU rating -10.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to FAU.
- Predicted margin is FAU by 3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FAU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FIU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
FAU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.