Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00pm CT · Rice Stadium · Houston, TX · ESPN+Final
WMU
Western Michigan Broncos · MAC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 0 · rank 66 · No CFBD row
-8.5 (-108)
-355
RICE
Rice Owls · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -13.5 · rank 122 · No CFBD row
+8.5 (-112)
+280

Market vs model

Spread
WMU -8.5
RICE +8.5 (-112)
WMU -8.5 (-108)
Model
WMU -11
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WMU
RICE +280 · WMU -355
Total 43.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • RICE rating -13.5, WMU rating 0.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to RICE.
  • Predicted margin is WMU by 11.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 11. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is WMU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WMU

FPI 0 · rank 66 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

RICE

FPI -13.5 · rank 122 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 11. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.