Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 2:00pm CT · Glass Bowl · Toledo, OH · CBSSNFinal/OT
TEM
Temple Owls · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -4.6 · rank 85 · No CFBD row
+4.5 (-110)
+164
TOL
Toledo Rockets · MAC · 2-1 · Home
FPI -1.8 · rank 77 · No CFBD row
-4.5 (-110)
-198
Market vs model
Spread
TOL -4.5
TOL -4.5 (-110)
TEM +4.5 (-110)
TEM +4.5 (-110)
Model
TOL -5.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TOL
TOL -198 · TEM +164
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TOL rating -1.8, TEM rating -4.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TOL.
- Predicted margin is TOL by 5.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 5.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TOL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TEM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
TOL
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 5.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.