Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00pm CT · H. A. Chapman Stadium · Tulsa, OK · ESPN+Final
ETAM
East Texas A&M Lions · 1-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+41.5 (-118)
—
TLSA
Tulsa Golden Hurricane · American · 3-0 · Home
FPI -1 · rank 72 · No CFBD row
-41.5 (-102)
—
Market vs model
Spread
TLSA -41.5
TLSA -41.5 (-102)
ETAM +41.5 (-118)
ETAM +41.5 (-118)
Model
TLSA -13.5
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TLSA
TLSA — · ETAM —
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TLSA rating -1, ETAM rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TLSA.
- Predicted margin is TLSA by 13.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 13.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is TLSA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ETAM
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
TLSA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 13.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.