Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00pm CT · Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium · Lafayette, LA · ESPN+Final
UAB
UAB Blazers · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -14.9 · rank 125 · No CFBD row
+7 (-112)
+225
UL
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Home
FPI -5.5 · rank 89 · No CFBD row
-7 (-108)
-278

Market vs model

Spread
UL -7
UL -7 (-108)
UAB +7 (-112)
Model
UL -11.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UL
UL -278 · UAB +225
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UL rating -5.5, UAB rating -14.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UL.
  • Predicted margin is UL by 11.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 11.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UL, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UAB

FPI -14.9 · rank 125 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

UL

FPI -5.5 · rank 89 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 11.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.