Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00pm CT · Raymond James Stadium · Tampa, FL · ESPN+Final
DSU
Delaware State Hornets · 2-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+37.5 (-115)
—
USF
South Florida Bulls · American · 3-0 · Home
FPI 0.8 · rank 63 · No CFBD row
-37.5 (-105)
—
Market vs model
Spread
USF -37.5
USF -37.5 (-105)
DSU +37.5 (-115)
DSU +37.5 (-115)
Model
USF -15.3
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USF
USF — · DSU —
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
Total 59.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- USF rating 0.8, DSU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to USF.
- Predicted margin is USF by 15.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 15.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is USF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
DSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
USF
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 15.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.