Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Sep 25 · 6:00pm CT · Protective Stadium · Birmingham, AL · ESPN6:00pm CT
NAVY
Navy Midshipmen · American · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row
-7 (-110)
-278
UAB
UAB Blazers · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -14.9 · rank 125 · No CFBD row
+7 (-110)
+225
Market vs model
Spread
NAVY -7
UAB +7 (-110)
NAVY -7 (-110)
NAVY -7 (-110)
Model
NAVY -7.1
Edge 0.1 pts NAVY
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NAVY
UAB +225 · NAVY -278
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UAB rating -14.9, NAVY rating -5.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UAB.
- Predicted margin is NAVY by 7.1.
- Edge is 0.1 points toward NAVY.
- Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -9.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NAVY, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NAVY
- L@ FAU 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TOW 42-15 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs CIN 35-13 · Fri, Jan 2
- Wvs ARMY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
- W@ MEM 28-17 · Thu, Nov 27
UAB
- L@ UL 21-14 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ULM 26-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ ILL 42-23 · Thu, Sep 3
- W@ TLSA 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs USF 48-18 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -9.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.