Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Sep 25 · 3:00pm CT · Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA · ESPN3:00pm CT
ARMY
Army Black Knights · American · 1-1 · Away
FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row
-3 (-110)
-155
TEM
Temple Owls · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -4.6 · rank 85 · No CFBD row
+3 (-110)
+130

Market vs model

Spread
ARMY -3
TEM +3 (-110)
ARMY -3 (-110)
Model
TEM -0.6
Edge 3.6 pts TEM
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
TEM +130 · ARMY -155
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • TEM rating -4.6, ARMY rating -2.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to TEM.
  • Predicted margin is TEM by 0.6.
  • Edge is 3.6 points toward TEM.
  • Edge 3.6 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ARMY

FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs USF 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Wvs BRY 59-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs CONN 41-16 · Sat, Dec 27
  4. Lvs NAVY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. W@ UTSA 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29

TEM

FPI -4.6 · rank 85 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TOL 49-48 OT · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs PSU 27-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs URI 38-14 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ UNT 52-25 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. Lvs TULN 37-13 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.