Fri, Sep 25 · 3:00pm CT · Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA · ESPN3:00pm CT
ARMY
Army Black Knights · American · 1-1 · Away
FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row
-3 (-110)
-155
TEM
Temple Owls · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -4.6 · rank 85 · No CFBD row
+3 (-110)
+130
Market vs model
Spread
ARMY -3
TEM +3 (-110) ARMY -3 (-110)
Model
TEM -0.6
Edge 3.6 pts TEM Full ratings ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
TEM +130 · ARMY -155 Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
TEM rating -4.6, ARMY rating -2.7.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to TEM.
Predicted margin is TEM by 0.6.
Edge is 3.6 points toward TEM.
Edge 3.6 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.5).
Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ARMY
FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row
Lvs USF 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs BRY 59-3 · Sat, Sep 5
Wvs CONN 41-16 · Sat, Dec 27
Lvs NAVY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
W@ UTSA 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29
TEM
FPI -4.6 · rank 85 · No CFBD row
L@ TOL 49-48 OT · Sat, Sep 19
Lvs PSU 27-9 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs URI 38-14 · Sat, Sep 5
L@ UNT 52-25 · Fri, Nov 28
Lvs TULN 37-13 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.