Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 3:00pm CT · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville, NC · ESPN+3:00pm CT
NCCU
North Carolina Central Eagles · 2-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+34.5 (-110)
+4000
ECU
East Carolina Pirates · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -4.6 · rank 84 · No CFBD row
-34.5 (-110)
-50000
Market vs model
Spread
ECU -34.5
ECU -34.5 (-110)
NCCU +34.5 (-110)
NCCU +34.5 (-110)
Model
ECU -9.9
Edge 24.6 pts NCCU
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ECU
ECU -50000 · NCCU +4000
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ECU rating -4.6, NCCU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ECU.
- Predicted margin is ECU by 9.9.
- Edge is 24.6 points toward NCCU.
- Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 7.4; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is ECU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NCCU
- L@ GWEB 44-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs NCAT 30-22 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ELIZ 27-6 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ TXSO 42-30 · Sat, Aug 29
- W@ MORG 33-14 · Sat, Nov 22
ECU
- W@ ODU 20-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs APP 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ ALA 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs PITT 23-17 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ FAU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 7.4; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.