Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 7:00pm CT · Malone Stadium · Monroe, LA · ESPN+7:00pm CT
FAU
Florida Atlantic Owls · American · 2-1 · Away
FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row
-13.5 (-110)
-535
ULM
UL Monroe Warhawks · Sun Belt · 0-3 · Home
FPI -22.6 · rank 135 · No CFBD row
+13.5 (-110)
+400

Market vs model

Spread
FAU -13.5
ULM +13.5 (-110)
FAU -13.5 (-110)
Model
FAU -9.7
Edge 3.8 pts ULM
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FAU
ULM +400 · FAU -535
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ULM rating -22.6, FAU rating -10.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ULM.
  • Predicted margin is FAU by 9.7.
  • Edge is 3.8 points toward ULM.
  • Edge 3.8 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -12.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is FAU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

FAU

FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs FIU 16-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs NAVY 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ FLA 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ECU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs CONN 48-45 · Sat, Nov 22

ULM

FPI -22.6 · rank 135 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs SELA 38-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ UAB 26-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ MSST 62-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ UL 30-27 OT · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ TXST 31-14 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.