Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 6:30pm CT · DATCU Stadium · Denton, TX · ESPN+6:30pm CT
HCU
Houston Christian Huskies · 2-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+37.5 (-110)
+5000
UNT
North Texas Mean Green · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row
-37.5 (-110)
-100000
Market vs model
Spread
UNT -37.5
UNT -37.5 (-110)
HCU +37.5 (-110)
HCU +37.5 (-110)
Model
UNT -12.2
Edge 25.3 pts HCU
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNT
UNT -100000 · HCU +5000
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
Total 58.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UNT rating -2.3, HCU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UNT.
- Predicted margin is UNT by 12.2.
- Edge is 25.3 points toward HCU.
- Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 9.7; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is UNT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
HCU
- L@ UIW 30-23 OT · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ARBA 88-0 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ RICE 31-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ SELA 34-28 · Thu, Aug 27
- Lvs UIW 31-10 · Sat, Nov 22
UNT
- L@ TXST 49-35 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs UNLV 44-6 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ IU 52-16 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs SDSU 49-47 · Sat, Dec 27
- L@ TULN 34-21 · Fri, Dec 5
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model number is on the board, but one rating is imputed — no ATS ticket. (Rating gap 9.7; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.