Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 6:00pm CT · Yulman Stadium · New Orleans, LA · ESPN+6:00pm CT
USM
Southern Miss Golden Eagles · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Away
FPI -13.1 · rank 118 · No CFBD row
+18.5 (-112)
+650
TULN
Tulane Green Wave · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -0.2 · rank 68 · No CFBD row
-18.5 (-108)
-1000
Market vs model
Spread
TULN -18.5
TULN -18.5 (-108)
USM +18.5 (-112)
USM +18.5 (-112)
Model
TULN -15.4
Edge 3.1 pts USM
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TULN
TULN -1000 · USM +650
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TULN rating -0.2, USM rating -13.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TULN.
- Predicted margin is TULN by 15.4.
- Edge is 3.1 points toward USM.
- Edge 3.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 12.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TULN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
USM
- Lvs CONN 48-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ AUB 43-8 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ALCN 49-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs WKU 27-16 · Tue, Dec 23
- Lvs TROY 28-18 · Sat, Nov 29
TULN
- L@ KSU 31-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs USA 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ DUKE 17-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ MISS 41-10 · Sat, Dec 20
- Wvs UNT 34-21 · Fri, Dec 5
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.