Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Thu, Oct 1 · 8:00pm CT · H. A. Chapman Stadium · Tulsa, OK · ESPN8:00pm CT
UNT
North Texas Mean Green · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row
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TLSA
Tulsa Golden Hurricane · American · 3-0 · Home
FPI -1 · rank 72 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
TLSA —
UNT —
UNT —
Model
TLSA -3.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TLSA
TLSA — · UNT —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TLSA rating -1, UNT rating -2.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TLSA.
- Predicted margin is TLSA by 3.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 3.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TLSA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UNT
- L@ TXST 49-35 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs UNLV 44-6 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ IU 52-16 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs SDSU 49-47 · Sat, Dec 27
- L@ TULN 34-21 · Fri, Dec 5
TLSA
- Wvs ETAM 42-0 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ SHSU 23-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs OKST 24-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs UAB 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
- W@ ARMY 26-25 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 3.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.