Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00pm CT · Rice Stadium · Houston, TX · ESPN+6:00pm CT
UTSA
UTSA Roadrunners · American · 2-1 · Away
FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row
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RICE
Rice Owls · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -13.5 · rank 122 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
RICE —
UTSA —
UTSA —
Model
UTSA -9.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UTSA
RICE — · UTSA —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- RICE rating -13.5, UTSA rating -1.7.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to RICE.
- Predicted margin is UTSA by 9.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 9.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UTSA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UTSA
- L@ TEX 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ TXST 31-26 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs RGV 45-16 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs FIU 57-20 · Fri, Dec 26
- Lvs ARMY 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29
RICE
- Lvs WMU 28-21 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ ND 52-0 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs HCU 31-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs TXST 41-10 · Fri, Jan 2
- L@ USF 52-3 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 9.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -11.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.