Sat, Oct 3 · 11:00am CT · Falcon Stadium · USAF Academy, CO · CBS11:00am CT
NAVY
Navy Midshipmen · American · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row
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AFA
Air Force Falcons · Mountain West · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.9 · rank 94 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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AFA — NAVY —
Model
AFA -2
Edge — Full ratings ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
AFA — · NAVY — Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
AFA rating -5.9, NAVY rating -5.3.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to AFA.
Predicted margin is AFA by 2.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model home 2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.5; home field +2.5).
Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NAVY
FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row
L@ FAU 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs TOW 42-15 · Sat, Sep 5
Wvs CIN 35-13 · Fri, Jan 2
Wvs ARMY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
W@ MEM 28-17 · Thu, Nov 27
AFA
FPI -5.9 · rank 94 · No CFBD row
Lvs NDSU 38-32 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs DUQ 34-0 · Sat, Sep 5
W@ CSU 42-21 · Fri, Nov 28
Lvs UNM 20-3 · Sat, Nov 22
L@ CONN 26-16 · Sat, Nov 15
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.5; home field +2.5).
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.