Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 2:30pm CT · Protective Stadium · Birmingham, AL · ESPN+2:30pm CT
SAM
Samford Bulldogs · 0-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
UAB
UAB Blazers · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -14.9 · rank 125 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UAB
SAM
Model
SAM -0.4
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
UAB · SAM
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UAB rating -14.9, SAM rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UAB.
  • Predicted margin is SAM by 0.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 0.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.9; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

SAM

No FPI row · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TNTC 45-19 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Lvs SIU 22-18 · Thu, Sep 3
  3. Lvs UNA 22-10 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. L@ TA&M 48-0 · Sat, Nov 22
  5. L@ APSU 30-16 · Sat, Nov 15

UAB

FPI -14.9 · rank 125 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ UL 21-14 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ULM 26-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ ILL 42-23 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. W@ TLSA 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs USF 48-18 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.9; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.