Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Thu, Oct 8 · 6:30pm CT · Alamodome · San Antonio, TX · Indoor6:30pm CT
USF
South Florida Bulls · American · 3-0 · Away
FPI 0.8 · rank 63 · No CFBD row
—
—
UTSA
UTSA Roadrunners · American · 2-1 · Home
FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row
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—

Market vs model

Spread
—
UTSA —
USF —
Model
UTSA -0.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
UTSA — · USF —
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UTSA rating -1.7, USF rating 0.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UTSA.
  • Predicted margin is UTSA by 0.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 0.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

USF

FPI 0.8 · rank 63 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs DSU 59-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ ARMY 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs FIU 19-9 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ODU 24-10 · Wed, Dec 17
  5. Wvs RICE 52-3 · Sat, Nov 29

UTSA

FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TEX 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ TXST 31-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs RGV 45-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs FIU 57-20 · Fri, Dec 26
  5. Lvs ARMY 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 0.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -2.4; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.