Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · DATCU Stadium · Denton, TX11:00pm CT
CLT
Charlotte 49ers · American · 0-3 · Away
FPI -15 · rank 126 · No CFBD row
UNT
North Texas Mean Green · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UNT
CLT
Model
UNT -15.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UNT
UNT · CLT
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UNT rating -2.3, CLT rating -15.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UNT.
  • Predicted margin is UNT by 15.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 15.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UNT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CLT

FPI -15 · rank 126 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ APP 26-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MISS 41-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs CIT 43-41 3OT · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ TULN 27-0 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ UGA 35-3 · Sat, Nov 22

UNT

FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TXST 49-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs UNLV 44-6 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ IU 52-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs SDSU 49-47 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. L@ TULN 34-21 · Fri, Dec 5

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 15.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12.7; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.