Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville, NC11:00pm CT
RICE
Rice Owls · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -13.5 · rank 122 · No CFBD row
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ECU
East Carolina Pirates · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -4.6 · rank 84 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
ECU —
RICE —
RICE —
Model
ECU -11.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ECU
ECU — · RICE —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ECU rating -4.6, RICE rating -13.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ECU.
- Predicted margin is ECU by 11.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 11.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ECU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
RICE
- Lvs WMU 28-21 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ ND 52-0 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs HCU 31-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs TXST 41-10 · Fri, Jan 2
- L@ USF 52-3 · Sat, Nov 29
ECU
- W@ ODU 20-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs APP 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ ALA 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs PITT 23-17 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ FAU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 11.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 8.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.