Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Thu, Oct 15 · 6:30pm CT · Protective Stadium · Birmingham, AL6:30pm CT
ECU
East Carolina Pirates · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -4.6 · rank 84 · No CFBD row
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UAB
UAB Blazers · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -14.9 · rank 125 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
UAB —
ECU —
ECU —
Model
ECU -7.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ECU
UAB — · ECU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UAB rating -14.9, ECU rating -4.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UAB.
- Predicted margin is ECU by 7.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 7.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ECU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ECU
- W@ ODU 20-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs APP 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ ALA 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs PITT 23-17 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ FAU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
UAB
- L@ UL 21-14 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ULM 26-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ ILL 42-23 · Thu, Sep 3
- W@ TLSA 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs USF 48-18 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 7.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.