Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Alamodome · San Antonio, TX · Indoor11:00pm CT
NAVY
Navy Midshipmen · American · 1-1 · Away
FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row
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UTSA
UTSA Roadrunners · American · 2-1 · Home
FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
UTSA —
NAVY —
NAVY —
Model
UTSA -6.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UTSA
UTSA — · NAVY —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UTSA rating -1.7, NAVY rating -5.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UTSA.
- Predicted margin is UTSA by 6.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 6.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UTSA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NAVY
- L@ FAU 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TOW 42-15 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs CIN 35-13 · Fri, Jan 2
- Wvs ARMY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
- W@ MEM 28-17 · Thu, Nov 27
UTSA
- L@ TEX 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ TXST 31-26 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs RGV 45-16 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs FIU 57-20 · Fri, Dec 26
- Lvs ARMY 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 6.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.