Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Raymond James Stadium · Tampa, FL11:00pm CT
KENT
Kent State Golden Flashes · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -23.2 · rank 137 · No CFBD row
USF
South Florida Bulls · American · 3-0 · Home
FPI 0.8 · rank 63 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
USF
KENT
Model
USF -26.5
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
USF
USF · KENT
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • USF rating 0.8, KENT rating -23.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to USF.
  • Predicted margin is USF by 26.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 26.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 24; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is USF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

KENT

FPI -23.2 · rank 137 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ OSU 59-3 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WOF 36-15 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ SC 57-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. W@ NIU 35-31 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. Lvs CMU 28-16 · Wed, Nov 19

USF

FPI 0.8 · rank 63 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs DSU 59-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ ARMY 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs FIU 19-9 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ODU 24-10 · Wed, Dec 17
  5. Wvs RICE 52-3 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 26.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 24; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.