Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Thu, Oct 22 · 6:30pm CT · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · Memphis, TN · ESPN26:30pm CT
ECU
East Carolina Pirates · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -4.6 · rank 84 · No CFBD row
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MEM
Memphis Tigers · American · 3-1 · Home
FPI -0.8 · rank 71 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
MEM —
ECU —
ECU —
Model
MEM -6.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MEM
MEM — · ECU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MEM rating -0.8, ECU rating -4.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MEM.
- Predicted margin is MEM by 6.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 6.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MEM, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ECU
- W@ ODU 20-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs APP 27-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- L@ ALA 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs PITT 23-17 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ FAU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
MEM
- Wvs UTM 45-21 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ BOIS 38-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ARST 42-24 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ UNLV 27-21 · Sat, Aug 29
- Lvs NCSU 31-7 · Fri, Dec 19
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 6.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.