Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 23 · 7:30pm CT · H. A. Chapman Stadium · Tulsa, OK · ESPN27:30pm CT
ARMY
Army Black Knights · American · 1-1 · Away
FPI -2.7 · rank 80 · No CFBD row
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—
TLSA
Tulsa Golden Hurricane · American · 3-0 · Home
FPI -1 · rank 72 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
TLSA —
ARMY —
ARMY —
Model
TLSA -4.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TLSA
TLSA — · ARMY —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TLSA rating -1, ARMY rating -2.7.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TLSA.
- Predicted margin is TLSA by 4.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 4.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TLSA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ARMY
- Lvs USF 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BRY 59-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs CONN 41-16 · Sat, Dec 27
- Lvs NAVY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
- W@ UTSA 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29
TLSA
- Wvs ETAM 42-0 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ SHSU 23-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs OKST 24-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs UAB 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
- W@ ARMY 26-25 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 4.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.