Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Flagler Credit Union Stadium · Boca Raton, FL11:00pm CT
RICE
Rice Owls · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -13.5 · rank 122 · No CFBD row
FAU
Florida Atlantic Owls · American · 2-1 · Home
FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
FAU
RICE
Model
FAU -5.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FAU
FAU · RICE
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • FAU rating -10.4, RICE rating -13.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to FAU.
  • Predicted margin is FAU by 5.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 5.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is FAU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

RICE

FPI -13.5 · rank 122 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs WMU 28-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ ND 52-0 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs HCU 31-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs TXST 41-10 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. L@ USF 52-3 · Sat, Nov 29

FAU

FPI -10.4 · rank 113 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs FIU 16-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs NAVY 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ FLA 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ECU 42-3 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs CONN 48-45 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 5.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.