Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 24 · 2:30pm CT · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · Annapolis, MD · CBSSN2:30pm CT
UNT
North Texas Mean Green · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row
NAVY
Navy Midshipmen · American · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
NAVY
UNT
Model
UNT -0.5
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
NAVY · UNT
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • NAVY rating -5.3, UNT rating -2.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to NAVY.
  • Predicted margin is UNT by 0.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 0.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UNT

FPI -2.3 · rank 79 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TXST 49-35 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs UNLV 44-6 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ IU 52-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs SDSU 49-47 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. L@ TULN 34-21 · Fri, Dec 5

NAVY

FPI -5.3 · rank 88 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ FAU 38-30 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. Wvs TOW 42-15 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs CIN 35-13 · Fri, Jan 2
  4. Wvs ARMY 17-16 · Sat, Dec 13
  5. W@ MEM 28-17 · Thu, Nov 27

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.