Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Yulman Stadium · New Orleans, LA11:00pm CT
UTSA
UTSA Roadrunners · American · 2-1 · Away
FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row
TULN
Tulane Green Wave · American · 1-2 · Home
FPI -0.2 · rank 68 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
TULN
UTSA
Model
TULN -3.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TULN
TULN · UTSA
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • TULN rating -0.2, UTSA rating -1.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to TULN.
  • Predicted margin is TULN by 3.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 3.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TULN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UTSA

FPI -1.7 · rank 76 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TEX 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ TXST 31-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs RGV 45-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs FIU 57-20 · Fri, Dec 26
  5. Lvs ARMY 27-24 · Sat, Nov 29

TULN

FPI -0.2 · rank 68 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ KSU 31-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs USA 28-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ DUKE 17-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ MISS 41-10 · Sat, Dec 20
  5. Wvs UNT 34-21 · Fri, Dec 5

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 3.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.